A recent academic study has raised concerns about the mental health impact of the Hamas massacres and ongoing conflict in Israel. Conducted by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Columbia University, and the Israeli Shalvata Mental Health Center, the study predicts that approximately half a million Israelis, or about 5% of the population, could develop post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) as a result of these events. This figure is based on a differential statistical model that considers the level and extent of trauma exposure among different segments of the population.
According to the study, around 31% of individuals who experienced the Oct. 7 massacres are expected to develop PTSD. Particularly high-risk groups include survivors of the Nova Music Festival and residents of southern Israeli communities affected by the conflict. The study’s lead researcher, Dana Katsoty, emphasized the importance of addressing the mental health needs of these populations, citing the significant surge in calls for assistance received by organizations like NATAL.
The surge in demand for mental health support comes at a time when the Israeli public mental health system is already facing challenges due to understaffing and underfunding. Even before the conflict, there were concerns about insufficient resources and long waiting times for treatment. Health officials acknowledge the need for effective and timely interventions to mitigate the long-term impact of trauma on individuals and communities.
Katsoty noted that the study’s estimates may be conservative, suggesting that the actual prevalence of PTSD could be higher given the severity of the trauma experienced by many individuals. This underscores the importance of prioritizing mental health support services and resources in the aftermath of traumatic events.
